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• What: Tendency to seek information that agrees with what you already believe.​

• Effect: Ignoring facts that contradict your assumptions; leads to blind spots and bad forecasts.​

• Example: You believe cryptocurrency will rise, so you only read bullish blogs and ignore warnings about scams or volatility.​

• Avoid:

  • Use “consider-the-opposite” thinking (ask, “What if I’m wrong?”).

  • Assign someone to “red-team” or challenge your idea.

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Require yourself to find one credible disconfirming source before deciding.